What if?

Bulletin #4

June 1, 2005

We have been making the rounds, talking to various community groups, employers and key community leaders.  The comments and questions that we have received are interesting and bear repeating. 

The most frequent comment that we have heard is, “I’m glad that someone is working on this problem.”  This comment is similar in some ways to related comments like, “The problem is too big to solve locally,” or “You cannot stem the tide.  The market is going to inflate no matter what you do,” or “The market will correct for this.  It always does,” or “Isn’t this what our affordable housing groups already do?”  All of these comments including the first indicate a distressingly pervasive disconnect from dealing with the problem of affordable housing. 

When we surveyed employers on San Juan Island it seemed to come as a surprise that half of the teachers in that district would be retiring over the next 5 years.  A few employers did not feel that the problem was serious because they hire island residents.  Among private sector employers in particular, there was less concern about near term hiring, even though one expected 100% turnover over the next 5 years.  These employers are basically benefiting from island residents who were fortunate enough to have purchased homes while they were still affordable.  What happens when that pool of employees is used up? 

What if we cannot hire or retain the people that we need to staff the essential jobs on the islands?   What would our day-to-day island experience be? 

Today, we have become accustomed to things running pretty smoothly.  We occasionally have a power failure in the winter, but seldom for more than a few hours.  Our propane usually gets delivered before we run out.  Our telephones rarely fail and many of us now have high speed internet access.  Our emergency medical care is remarkably good for a rural community.  Our crime rate is very low.  We turn out some pretty great kids in our schools.  Overall, things are pretty good.

 

But, symptoms of problems are beginning to emerge.  Among most public sector employers with requirements for professional staff there is growing concern about attracting and retaining trained staff.  Our sheriff worries about law enforcement officers who discover after they are hired that they cannot afford to live here.  On San Juan Island we already have a shortage of nurses.  In the private sector there are also signs. Can you get an electrician to fix a wiring problem in your home?  How about emergency help with your plumbing?  How long does it take to get your roof fixed when it develops a leak?  Many of us are self sufficient and can do some of these things, but not everyone can (or should) attempt these jobs.  Signs of stress are beginning to appear in the everyday things that we need to keep our lives running smoothly.

What if all these people who we depend on every day gradually disappeared?  What would we do?  Even if you are fortunate enough to already own our home, this problem still involves you.  If we just raised wages to a level that would allow working families to purchase homes, prices for services would be out of reach for many of us.  It won’t go away and it will only get worse if we delay finding solutions.

This is why none of us can afford to ignore the problem any longer.  This is not an issue of helping those less fortunate, but rather is what might be described as “enlightened self interest.”  If we are to preserve our communities, we need to pull together to find solutions.

This Saturday, June 4th, from noon to 4:00p we will begin a public discussion on solutions.  We will put forth 10 recommendations, some of them controversial, as a beginning to what we hope will be an intense and productive dialog.

We ask you to consider putting aside whatever you planned for Saturday to join us.  Are you disconnected?  Please join us in what we hope will be a very productive beginning to solving this problem.

Lee Sturdivant, San Juan Island

Paul Losleben and Steve Garrison, Orcas Island

Sandy Bishop, Lopez Island

San Juan County Housing Summit: Affordable Housing Solutions

Friday Harbor High School Commons, Saturday, June 4th.

11:30-12:00 Attendees Sign In

Pick up lunches and various handouts including blank forms to provide questions, feedback, etc.

12:00-12:10 Welcome and Overview of the Day’s Goals

Lisa Byers, Executive Director, OPAL Community Land Trust

12:10-12:30 What is the problem that we are here to solve?

Peter C. Fisher, President of Island Stewards and well known advocate for preserving our islands for over 20 years.

12:30-1:00 What evidence do we have that the problem can be solved?

Sarah Lewonton, Executive Director, Housing Resource Group, a highly successful project providing housing for Seattle working families.

1:00-2:00 Research Done and Initial Findings – Our “Toolbox”

Led by Paul Losleben, Senior Research Scientist Emeritus, Stanford University and Founder, Orcas Research Group

  • What are the attributes of the solution that we are seeking?
  • Elements of a Solution – Examples of approaches that we recommend.
  • Bringing Projects, Approaches and Money Together – The Housing Bank

2:00-2:30 Break

2:30-3:30 Facilitated Discussion

Led by Craig Wier, President, eUsers, principal in Navigating Our Future and member of the San Juan County Affordable Housing Fund Commission.

  • What conclusions do participants draw from the evidence?
  • What are the strengths/weaknesses of the proposed solution?
  • Suggestions about how the proposed solution could be altered 
                to make it more successful and viable? What are we missing?
  • Can this group endorse the proposed solution or as amended? If 
                not why not? Are there changes that would get your assent?

3:30-4:00 Action Planning

Led by Steve Garrison, Retired CEO, Founder, Orcas Research Group, Executive Committee, SJ Economic Development Council.

  • Identify steps to putting the proposed solution into action.
  • What can you bring to the party?

As always, our most recent publications are posted at our website http://orcasresearch.org/  and you can contact us at any time at Losleben@rockisland.com or Garrison@rockisland.com

Tax deductible donations to help support the Housing Summit and to help pay for materials and supplies are gratefully accepted through Navigating Our Future, Housing Project, PO Box 298, Deer Harbor, WA 28243.  This is a totally volunteer effort, so your help is appreciated.